Course-Related Readings & Assignments (due before indicated class meeting)

 

Class #1 (Introduction):

Readings:

DP: 6-15

 

Class #2 (Introduction, continued):

DP: 16-21

 

Class #3 (Greenhouse Gases on The Rise):

Readings:

DP: 26-28; 30-33

Scientist-run blog RealClimate.org article: How much...CO2..due to human activities?

Assignment:

Write a short (1-2 paragraph) critique of this article by climate change contrarian Dr. Roy Spencer, based on your readings and any possible supplementary sources of information you wish to use  (though note the instructions regarding use of supplementary sources of information in the course syllabus). Come to class prepared to participate in a discussion.

 

Class #4 (The Greenhouse Effect):

Readings:

DP: 22-25; 28-29

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) WG1 Report, Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #1.3  "What is the Greenhouse Effect", pages 6-7

"The Discovery of Global Warming" by Spencer Weart (American Institute of Physics) The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect (the article is fairly lengthy, you may skim through it)

Assignment:

Use this online calculator from the University of Massachusetts Geosciences Department to investigate the impact of  the Greenhouse Effect  (you can ignore the list of questions). In this simple model, the greenhouse effect is represented by a single parameter, the fraction of the longwave radiation emitted from the Earth that is radiated back down towards the surface rather than escaping to space (due to the "greenhouse effect"). The current greenhouse effect is approximated by assuming that this fraction is 0.40 (i.e. 40%).

Do the following calculations. Convert all answers from Kelvin to Fahrenheit.

1. The default fraction of the online calculator is 0.397. Change this to 0.40 to estimate the current average surface temperature of the Earth.

2. What would the average temperature of the Earth be if there were no greenhouse effect at all? What are the implications of your answer?

3. Assume that doubling of CO2 concentrations relative to their pre-industrial levels will increase the back radiation from 40% to 41%   (at the low end of the range that has been calculated by scientists).  How much warming will be expected?

4. Assume that instead, this doubling increases the back radiation from 40% to 44%  (at the upper end of the calculated range). Now how much warming would be expected in this case?

 

Class #5 (Observations of Modern Climate Change):

Readings:

DP: 34-39; 46-47

IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, pages 3-6

RealClimate article: The Global Cooling Myth

 

Assignment:

Perform a google news search on "global cooling" to determine how many news articles in the past month (among those listed by google), refer to either the claim that scientists were predicting global cooling decades ago, or that the globe is currently cooling (or at least, not warming).  Assess the reliability of your sources. You will turn in what you found. Be prepared to participate in an in-class discussion.

 

Class #6 (Observations of Modern Climate Change, continued):

Readings:

DP: 52-61

IPCC AR5, WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, pages 7-8

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #3.2  "How is precipitation changing?", pages 13-14

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #3.3  "Has there been a Change in Extreme Events?", pages 15-16

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #9.1  "Can Extreme Events be explained by Global Warming?", page 27

Assignment:

Read this CNN piece from Feb 2014 “The weather is cuckoo this winter, but there's method to the madness and this article from Inside Science News from June 2015 “Most Extreme Weather Has Climate Change Link, Study Says”.

 Also check out this Huffington Post commentary by your instructor from Jan 2014: "Drunken Arctic Goes Head Over Heels".

 

Prepare a short (less than one page) essay to turn in. Assess the prevailing thinking about the linkage between climate change and extreme weather events.

 

 

Class #7 (A Tempest in a Greenhouse: Have Hurricanes Become More Frequent or Intense?):

Readings:

DP: 62-63

How Global Warming Made Hurricane Sandy Worseby Andrew Freedman of Climate Central

USA Today article from July 2013: Storm warning: Climate change to spawn more hurricanes

 

Class #8 (“The Power of the Story in Science” workshop):

[come to class prepared to participate in workshop; bring a copy of your latest essay from class #6]

 

 

Class #9 (Humans vs. Nature: The Competing Impacts of Humans and Nature on Climate):

Readings:

DP: 18-19

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #2.1 "How do Human Activities Compare with Natural Influences", pages 8-10 of document

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question #6.1 "What caused...climate changes...before the industrial era?", pages 20-21 of document

Write a short essay (under 1 page, single-spaced), in your own words, about the relative role of natural and human factors in climate change. Be sure to include some specific examples.

 

Class #10 (Internet/Web Media Workshop):

[come to class prepared to participate in workshop]

 

Class #11 (The Paleoclimate Perspective):

Readings:

DP: 40-43; 48-51; 64-67

RealClimate article: The lag between temperature and CO2   

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Questions #6.1 and #6.2 

RealClimate article: What we can learn from studying the last millennium (or so)

 

Assignment:

Come to class ready to participate in a discussion of how studying past climate can inform our understanding of human-caused climate change.

 

Class #12 (Guest Lecture by Prof. Greg Jenkins: Examining the multiple dimensions of climate change in West Africa)

 

Class #13 (Study/Work Smarter Workshop):

[come to class prepared to participate in workshop]

 

Class #14 (Online Publishing Workshop):

[come to class prepared to participate in workshop]

 

Class #15 (TBA)

 

[CONTACT INSTRUCTOR WITH SUGGESTED TOPIC FOR COURSE-END MULTIMEDIA PRESENTATION]

 

Class #16  ("The Day After Tomorrow": A Possible Scenario?):

Readings:

DP: 104-105

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question #10.2  "How likely are..Abrupt Climate Changes?", pages 31-32

 Global warming is now slowing down the circulation of the oceans — with potentially dire consequences” by Chris Mooney of the Washington Post.

 

Class #17  ("The Day After Tomorrow": A Possible Scenario?):

(continued)

 

Class #18 (“The Danger of the Single Story” workshop):

[come to class prepared to participate in workshop; bring a copy of your latest essay from class #6]

 

 

Class #19 (Climate Modeling; Can't we Explain Past Trends by Natural Factors Alone?):

Readings:

DP: 68-81

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #1.1  "What Factors Determine Earth's Climate?", pages 2-3

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #1.2  "What is the Relationship Between Climate and Weather?", pages 4-5

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #8.1  "How Reliable Are the Models?"

Assignment:

Perform a google news search using appropriate key words to find any news articles in the past month suggest that the warming of the past century is likely to have been due to natural, rather than human, influences. Briefly summarize your findings in a roughly 1 page summary. Assess the reliability of your sources. Come to class prepared to discuss some of the examples you found.

 

Class #20 (Media Workshop #1):

[come to class (W140 Pattee) prepared to participate in workshop]

 

[ONE PARAGRAPH BLURB ON PRESENTATION TOPIC DUE]

 

 

Class #21 (How Sensitive is the Climate?)

Readings:

DP: 84-91

False Hope: Earth Will Cross the Climate Danger Threshold by 2036” by Michael Mann, Scientific American (April 2014)

Assignment:

Come to class prepared to participate in a group discussion.

 

Class #22 (Projections of Future Climate Change; Emissions Scenarios)

Readings:

DP: 82-83; 92-93

IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, page 19

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #10.3  "If Emissions are Reduced, How Quickly do Concentrations Decrease", pages 33-34

RealClimate article: How much CO2 Emission is too much?

 

 

Class #23 (Projections of Future Climate Change: Surface Warming; Rainfall and Drought)

Readings:

DP: 94-103

IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, page 20-22

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, pages 12-15

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #11.1  "Do Projected Changes...Vary from Region to Region?", page 3

 

Class #24 (Projections of Future Climate Change: Melting Ice, Rising Sea Level, Extreme Weather)

Readings:

DP: 97; 104-115

IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, page 22-26

RealClimate article: How Much will Sea Level Rise?

Assignment:

Perform a google news search to find recent news articles discussing climate change impacts on extreme weather events, including hurricanes, floods, droughts, blizzards, etc. Assess the reliability of your sources. Summarize your findings in one or two paragraphs. Come to class prepared to discuss your examples.

 

Class #25 (Media Workshop #2):

[come to class (W140 Pattee) prepared to participate in workshop]

 

Class #26 (The Science in ‘An Inconvenient Truth’)

Readings:

RealClimate article: Al Gore’s Movie