Course-Related Readings and Assignments

 

Class #1 (Introduction):

Readings:

DP: 6-17

 

Class #2 (In-Class Academic Integrity Workshop):

[come to class prepared to participate in workshop]

 

 

Class #3 (Greenhouse Gases on The Rise):

Readings:

DP: 32-35

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment (“AR4”) Working Group 1 (“WG1”) Report, Summary For Policy Makers, pages 2-3

 

 

Class #4 (Greenhouse Gases on The Rise, continued):

Readings:

Scientist-run blog RealClimate.org articles: How do we know that ..CO2 Increases, due to human activities?  and How much...CO2..due to human activities?

Assignment:

Write a short (1-2 paragraph) critique of this article by climate change skeptic Dr. Roy Spencer, based on your readings and any possible supplementary sources of information you wish to use  (though note the instructions regarding use of supplementary sources of information in the course syllabus)

 

 

Class #5 (The Greenhouse Effect):

Readings:

DP: 22--31

IPCC AR4 WG1 Repot, Frequently Asked Questions,  Question  #1.3  “What is the Greenhouse Effect”, pages 6-7

 

 

Class #6 (The Greenhouse Effect, continued):

Readings:

“The Discovery of Global Warming” by Spencer Weart (American Institute of Physics) The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect

Assignment:

Use this online calculator from the University of Massachusetts Geosciences Department to investigate the impact of  the Greenhouse Effect  (you can ignore the list of questions). In this simple model, the greenhouse effect  is represented by a single parameter, the fraction of the longwave radiation emitted from the Earth that is radiated back down towards the surface rather than escaping to space (due to the ‘greenhouse effect’). The current greenhouse effect is approximated by assuming that this fraction is 0.40 (i.e. 40%).

Do the following calculations. Convert all answers from Kelvin to Fahrenheit.

1. The default fraction of the online calculator is 0.397. Change this to 0.40 to  estimate the current average surface temperature of the Earth.

2. What would the average temperature of the Earth be if there were no greenhouse effect at all? What are the implications of your answer?

3. Assume that doubling of CO2 concentrations relative to their pre-industrial  levels will increase the back radiation from 40% to 41%   (at the low end of the range that has been calculated by scientists).  How much warming will be expected?

4. Assume that instead, this doubling increases the back radiation from 40% to 44%  (at the upper end of the calculated range). Now how much warming would be expected in this case?

 

 

Class #7 (Humans vs. Nature: The Competing Impacts of Humans and Nature on Climate):

Readings:

DP: 18-19

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #2.1 “How do Human Activities…Compare with Natural Influences”, pages 8-10 of document

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question #6.1 “What caused...climate changes...before the industrial era”, pages 20-21 of document

 

 

Class #8 (Scientific Uncertainty):

Readings:

DP: 20-21

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, table on page 8

 “The Discovery of Global Warming” by Spencer Weart (American Institute of Physics), Reflections on the Scientific Process as Seen in Climate Studies

Assignment:

Read the news article The Truth About Denial from the August 13 2007 issue of Newsweek magazine. Come to class prepared to participate in a group discussion.

 

 

Class #9 (Observations of Modern Climate Change):

Readings:

DP: 36-37

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, pages 5-6

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #3.1  “How are temperature changing?”, pages11-12

 

 

 

Class #10 (Observations of Modern Climate Change, continued):

Readings:

DP: 38-39; 44-45

RealClimate article: The Global Cooling Myth

Assignment:

Perform a google news search on “global cooling” to determine how many news articles in the past month (among those listed by google)  refer to the claim that scientists were predicting global cooling in the 1970s. Briefly summarize your findings (less than 1 written page, which you will turn in). Come to class prepared to discuss some of the examples you found.

 

Class #11 (Observations of Modern Climate Change, continued):

Readings:

DP: 48-51

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, pages 7-8

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #3.2  “How is precipitation…changing?”, pages 13-14

 

 

Class #12 (In-Class Internet/Web Workshop):

[come to class prepared to participate in workshop]

 

 

Class #13 (Observations of Modern Climate Change, continued):

Readings:

DP: 52-55

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #3.3  “Has there been a Change in Extreme Events…?”, pages 15-16

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #9.1  “Can Extreme Events be explained…Global Warming?”, page 27

Assignment:

Read this Newsweek article from November, "Is Global Warming Responsible for Wild Weather?". Prepare a short (1 to 2 paragraph) summary to turn in, and be prepared to participate in an in-class discussion of the article.

 

 

 

Class #14 (A Tempest in a Greenhouse: Have Hurricanes Become More Frequent or Intense?):

Readings:

DP: 56-57

RealClimate article: Hurricanes and Global Warming – Is there a connection?

 Pew Center on Climate Change, Hurricanes and Global Warming Q&A

Assignment:

Write a 1 or 2 paragraph summary discussing the main point of scientific contention regarding the influences of global warming on Hurricanes. Come to class prepared to participate in a debate.

 

 

Class #15 (The Paleoclimate Perspective):

Readings:

DP: 40-43; 62-63

RealClimate article: What does the lag of CO2 behind temperature in ice cores tell us about global warming?

RealClimate article: The lag between temperature and CO2   

Readings:

DP: 46-47; 58-59

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #6.2  “Is the Current Climate Change Unusual…?”,   page 22

RealClimate article: Medieval Warmth and English Wine

RealClimate article: What we can learn from studying the last millennium (or so)

Assignment:

Write a short essay (1-2 pages), in your own words, about how studying past climate can inform our understanding of human-caused climate change. Be sure to include some specific examples. Make sure to keep a copy of your essay, to bring with you to the writing workshop which takes place after spring break.

 

[CONTACT INSTRUCTOR WITH SUGGESTED TOPIC FOR COURSE-END PRESENTATION]

 

 

Class #16 (In-Class Writing Workshop):

[come to class prepared to participate in workshop; bring a copy of your essay from lesson #15]

 

 

Class #17  (‘The Day After Tomorrow’: A Possible Scenario?):

Readings:

DP: 60-61

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question #10.2  “How Llikely are..Abrupt Climate Changes......?”, pages 31-32

RealClimate articles: Gulf Stream Slowdown?  and Carl Wunsch, The Economist, and the Gulf Stream

 

 

Class #18  (‘The Day After Tomorrow’: A Possible Scenario?):

(continued from class #17)

 

Class #19 (Climate Modeling; Can’t we Explain Past Trends by Natural Factors Alone):

Readings:

DP: 64-75

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #1.1  “What Factors Determine Earth’s Climate?”, pages 2-3

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #1.2  “What is the Relationship Between Climate and Weather?”, pages 4-5

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #8.1  “How Reliable Are the Models...?”, pages 25-26

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report

Assignment:

Perform a google news search using appropriate key words to determine how many news articles in the past month suggest that the warming of the past century is likely to have been due to natural, rather than human, influences. Briefly summarize your findings. Come to class prepared to discuss some of the examples you found.

 

 

Class #20 (How Sensitive is the Climate?)

Readings:

DP: 78-85

RealClimate article: Climate sensitivity: Plus ca change…

Assignment:

[ONE PARAGRAPH BLURB ON PRESENTATION TOPIC DUE]

 

 

Class #21 (Projections of Future Climate Change; Emissions Scenarios)

Readings:

DP: 86-87; 104-105

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, page 18

IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios Summary for Policy Makers

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #10.3  “If Emissions are Reduced, How Quickly do Concentrations Decrease...?”, pages 33-34

RealClimate article: How much CO2 Emission is too much?

 

 

Class #22 (Projections of Future Climate Change: Surface Warming)

Readings:

DP: 77; 88-97

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, pages 12-15

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #11.1  “Do Projected Changes...Vary from Region to Region?”, page 3

 

 

Class #23 (In-Class Library Instruction Session):

[come to class prepared to participate in instruction session]

 

 

Class #24 (Projections of Future Climate Change: Carbon Cycle Feedbacks; Melting Ice and Rising Sea Level; Extreme Weather)

Readings:

DP: 77; 94-99

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, WG1 Summary For Policy Makers, pages 12-15

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #11.1  “Do Projected Changes...Vary from Region to Region?”, page 3

IPCC AR4 WG1 Report Frequently Asked Questions, Question  #10.1  “Are Extreme Events...Expected to Change?”, page 30

RealClimate article: How Much will Sea Level Rise?

Perform a google news search to find a recent news article discussing climate change impacts on extreme weather events. Summarize your findings in one or two paragraphs. Come to class prepared to discuss your examples.

 

 

Class #25 (The Science in ‘An Inconvenient Truth’)

Readings:

RealClimate article: Al Gore’s Movie