Climate Dynamics (METEO 470, 3 credits)

Course Syllabus for Spring 2019

 

Instructor: Michael E. Mann, Department of Meteorology, 514 Walker Building, mann@psu.edu (office hours: Wed 1:00-2:15 PM)

 

TA: Mingyu Park, 407 Walker Building, mup65@psu.edu (office hours, Monday 10:00-11:30 AM) and Thursday 2-3:30 PM) 

 

Meeting Time/Place: Tu/Th 10:35-11:50 AM (217 Hammond)

 

Office Hours: You are encouraged to use email for questions when possible. You are welcome to visit my office for questions during scheduled office hours (Wed 1:00-2:15 PM), or by appointment.

 

Motivation:

In order to under and model the climate system, we need to understand the balance of energy within the climate system as well as the dynamics of the underlying components of the climate system, including the atmosphere and ocean, and the mechanisms by which these components may be coupled. Topics discussed will include global energy balance, including zero and one-dimensional models of radiative equilibrium, the role of the ocean circulation including the thermohaline and wind-driven components, the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), internal and forced climate variability, and climate change.

 

Prerequisites: Meteo 300, Meteo 421, and Meteo 431

You are expected to be familiar with the governing equations (momentum and energy conservation, continuity, and equation of state) of the atmosphere on a sphere.

 

Webpage

We will regularly draw upon the course homepage as a resource for the course:

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/Mann/courses/METEO470SPR19/index.html

Aside from links to the course syllabus, there will be links to the readings, problem sets, slides from the lectures, and other course-related materials.

 

Lectures

Attendance of all lectures is expected. You are strongly encouraged to ask questions and participate constructively in class. Copies of slides from the lectures will usually be made available electronically through the course website before or shortly following the lecture.

 

Textbook

There is no required textbook. Some students might find Peixoto & Oort “Physics of Climate” a useful reference (it has been placed on reserve in the EMS library).

Supplementary readings from various sources will be posted on the course website.

 

Grading

Problem Sets (50%): There will be 4 problem sets assigned that will involve applications of topics covered in class.  You may discuss the problems with each other, but the problem set you turn in should reflect your own individual effort. We will frequently make use MATLAB for assignments (MATLAB is available on the Meteorology Computer Lab Computers)

Mid-Term Exam (20%): There will be an in-class mid-term examination roughly mid-way through the semester (Feb 23).

Final Exam (30%): There will a final examination for the course at the scheduled time and date.

 

Grade Scale: A: 92-100%; A-: 88-91%; B+: 84-87%; B: 80-83%; B-: 75-79%; C+: 71-74%; C: 63-70%; D: 50-62%; F: <50%

 

Lecture Schedule (tentative and subject to change):

                                                                                                                                                                      

 

DATE

LECTURE TOPIC

ASSIGNMENT

1

T Jan 8

Introduction

 

 

 

Module 1: Zero-Dimensional Energy Balance Model

 

2

R Jan 10

Global Energy Balance; Greenhouse Effect

PS1 Assigned

3

T Jan 15

The Zero-Dimensional Energy Balance Model

 

4

R Jan 17

Climate Sensitivity

 

5

T Jan 22

Modeling Historical Temperature Changes

6

R Jan 24

Projecting Future Warming

G1

T Jan 29

Guest (J. Fuentes): Plant-emitted gases & role in climate system

R Jan 31

Class Cancelled (due to weather!)

7

T Feb 5

Internal Variability & Red Noise

PS 1 Due

 

 

Module 2: One-Dimensional Energy Balance Model

 

8

R Feb 7

Meridional Energy Balance

PS 2 Assigned

9

T Feb 12

Atmospheric heat transport

 

10

R Feb 14

The One-Dimensional Energy Balance Model

11

T Feb 19

Snowball Earth; Hysteresis

 

12

R Feb 21

Class Cancelled (due to weather!)

13

T Feb 26

Snowball Earth; Hysteresis (continued); Climate/Extreme Weather

R Feb 28

Mid-term

PS 2 Due

 

T Mar 5

No Class [Spring Break]

 

 

R Mar 7

No Class [Spring Break]

 

Module 3: The Role of Ocean Circulation

14

T Mar 12

The Stommel Box Model of the AMOC

PS 3 Assigned

15

R Mar 14

The Stommel Box Model of the AMOC (continued)

16

T Mar 19

The Day After Tomorrow scenario; The AMO

17

R Mar 21

Stommel Model of Ocean Gyre

18

T Mar 26

Ocean Gyres and Heat Transport; The PDO

 

19

R Mar 28

Ocean Gyres and Heat Transport; The PDO (cont)

PS 3 Due

Module 4: The El Nino/Southern Oscillation

20

T Apr 2

ENSO basics

PS 4 Assigned

21

R Apr 4

The Delayed-Oscillator Model

G2

T Apr 9

Guest (J. Salinger): Climate Drivers in the Southern Hemisphere

22

R Apr 11

The Cane-Zebiak Model

 

23

T Apr 16

Climate Change & El Nino

Module 5: Climate Change

24

R Apr 18

Climate Models

PS 4 Due

25

T Apr 23

Anthropogenic Climate Change

26

R Apr 25

Anthropogenic Climate Change (continued); Review Session