Climate
Dynamics (METEO 470, 3 credits)
Course
Syllabus for Spring 2019
Instructor: Michael E. Mann,
Department of Meteorology, 514 Walker Building, mann@psu.edu
(office hours: Wed 1:00-2:15 PM)
TA: Mingyu Park, 407 Walker Building, mup65@psu.edu (office hours, Monday 10:00-11:30
AM) and Thursday 2-3:30 PM)
Meeting Time/Place: Tu/Th 10:35-11:50 AM (217 Hammond)
Office Hours: You are encouraged to use email for questions when possible. You are welcome to visit my office for questions during scheduled office hours (Wed 1:00-2:15 PM), or by appointment.
Motivation:
In order to under and model the climate system, we need to understand the balance of energy within the climate system as well as the dynamics of the underlying components of the climate system, including the atmosphere and ocean, and the mechanisms by which these components may be coupled. Topics discussed will include global energy balance, including zero and one-dimensional models of radiative equilibrium, the role of the ocean circulation including the thermohaline and wind-driven components, the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), internal and forced climate variability, and climate change.
Prerequisites: Meteo 300, Meteo 421, and Meteo 431
You are expected to be familiar with the governing equations (momentum and energy conservation, continuity, and equation of state) of the atmosphere on a sphere.
Webpage
We will regularly draw upon the course homepage as a resource for the course:
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/Mann/courses/METEO470SPR19/index.html
Aside from links to the course syllabus, there will be links to the readings, problem sets, slides from the lectures, and other course-related materials.
Lectures
Attendance of all lectures is expected. You are strongly encouraged to ask questions and participate constructively in class. Copies of slides from the lectures will usually be made available electronically through the course website before or shortly following the lecture.
Textbook
There is no required textbook. Some students might find Peixoto & Oort “Physics of Climate” a useful reference (it has been placed on reserve in the EMS library).
Supplementary readings from various sources will be posted on the course website.
Grading
Problem Sets
(50%): There will be 4 problem sets
assigned that will involve applications of topics covered in class. You may discuss the problems with each other,
but the problem set you turn in should reflect your own individual effort. We
will frequently make use MATLAB for assignments (MATLAB is available on the
Meteorology Computer Lab Computers)
Mid-Term Exam
(20%): There will be an in-class
mid-term examination roughly mid-way through the semester (Feb 23).
Final Exam
(30%): There will a final
examination for the course at the scheduled time and date.
Grade
Scale: A: 92-100%; A-: 88-91%; B+: 84-87%; B: 80-83%; B-: 75-79%; C+: 71-74%;
C: 63-70%; D: 50-62%; F: <50%
Lecture Schedule (tentative and subject to change):
|
DATE |
LECTURE TOPIC |
ASSIGNMENT |
1 |
T Jan 8 |
Introduction |
|
|
|
Module 1: Zero-Dimensional Energy Balance Model |
|
2 |
R Jan 10 |
Global Energy Balance; Greenhouse Effect |
PS1 Assigned |
3 |
T Jan 15 |
The Zero-Dimensional Energy Balance Model |
|
4 |
R Jan 17 |
Climate Sensitivity |
|
5 |
T Jan 22 |
Modeling Historical Temperature Changes |
|
6 |
R Jan 24 |
Projecting Future Warming |
|
G1 |
T Jan 29 |
Guest (J. Fuentes): Plant-emitted
gases & role in climate system |
|
R Jan 31 |
Class Cancelled (due to weather!) |
||
7 |
T Feb 5 |
Internal Variability & Red Noise |
PS 1 Due |
|
|
Module 2: One-Dimensional Energy Balance Model |
|
8 |
R Feb 7 |
Meridional Energy Balance |
PS 2 Assigned |
9 |
T Feb 12 |
Atmospheric heat transport |
|
10 |
R Feb 14 |
The One-Dimensional Energy Balance Model |
|
11 |
T Feb 19 |
Snowball Earth; Hysteresis |
|
12 |
R Feb 21 |
Class Cancelled (due
to weather!) |
|
13 |
T Feb 26 |
Snowball Earth; Hysteresis (continued); Climate/Extreme Weather |
|
R Feb 28 |
Mid-term |
PS 2 Due |
|
|
T Mar 5 |
No Class [Spring Break] |
|
|
R Mar 7 |
No Class [Spring Break] |
|
Module 3: The Role of Ocean Circulation |
|||
14 |
T Mar 12 |
The Stommel Box Model of the AMOC |
PS 3 Assigned |
15 |
R Mar 14 |
The Stommel Box Model of the AMOC (continued) |
|
16 |
T Mar 19 |
“The Day After Tomorrow” scenario; The AMO |
|
17 |
R Mar 21 |
Stommel Model of Ocean Gyre |
|
18 |
T Mar 26 |
Ocean Gyres and Heat Transport; The PDO |
|
19 |
R Mar 28 |
Ocean Gyres and Heat Transport; The PDO (cont) |
PS 3 Due |
Module 4: The El Nino/Southern Oscillation |
|||
20 |
T Apr 2 |
ENSO basics |
PS 4 Assigned |
21 |
R Apr 4 |
The Delayed-Oscillator Model |
|
G2 |
T Apr 9 |
Guest (J. Salinger): Climate Drivers
in the Southern Hemisphere |
|
22 |
R Apr 11 |
The Cane-Zebiak Model |
|
23 |
T Apr 16 |
Climate Change & El Nino |
|
Module 5: Climate Change |
|||
24 |
R Apr 18 |
Climate Models |
PS 4 Due |
25 |
T Apr 23 |
Anthropogenic Climate Change |
|
26 |
R Apr 25 |
Anthropogenic Climate Change (continued); Review Session |