Atmospheric Dispersion
Uncertainty - Dr. Haupt has been working with Drs. L. Joel
Peltier (ARL
& ME), Wyngaard, Stauffer, and Deng (all Meteorology) to develop
methods for analyzing uncertainty in air dispersion models under
contract to the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA). This work
uses both theory and numerical investigations to develop models for
dispersion uncertainty and its relationship to variations in
meteorology. This work uses ensemble mesoscale modeling
analyses. Student Jared Lee is demonstrating these technqiues
using data from the CAPTEX field test. Dr. Haupt has also
specialized in statistical techniques to
best use the information from ensemble model data to predict the most
likely solution as well as to characterize its uncertainty. In
addition, Dr. Haupt is working with Dr. David Stauffer and Walter
Kolczynski to design new methods to calibrate the actual variance and
covariance given the ensemble variance and covariance to assess
dispersion uncertainty. These studies will impact application of
SCIPUFF, DTRA's dispersion model.
Computation Fluid Mechanics Applications - CFD
has proven quite useful at describing the details of flow about
structures. Dr. Haupt has used these techniques, both in the
context of ARL Navy contracts and in modeling atmospheric flows, to
study boundary layer, thermal effects, and impact of an immersed body
on the flow. Recently, she has worked with Drs. L. Joel Peltier
and Robert F. Kunz (ARL), and Mr. Robert Wilson (undergraduate honors
student) to compute details of flow about a cubical structure at high
Reynolds number characteristic of atmospheric flow regimes. These
computations match full scale field measurements better than those of
prior investigators and capture the details of turbulent separation a
shedding by using Detached Eddy Simulation (DES) methods, which combine
Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) and Large Eddy Simulation (LES)
techniques. They have recently done studies of how relaxing modeling
assumptions and grid fidelity impacts the flow characteristics plus
producing CFD comparisons to Water Tunnel testing. Another recent
project combined high fidelity CFD techniques with state-of-the art
radiation/conduction/convection models to analyze flow inside an
enviromentally friendly building. The results of this modeling
effort impacted building design plus provided information on the
importance of including heating computations on both the flow
characteristics and contaminant dispersion about and within the
building. Dr. Haupt is now working with Prof. Philip Morris
(Aerospace Engineering) and student Jonathon Stergiou to use immersed
boundary conditions in atmospheric dispersion calculations.
Empirical Modeling of Fluid Flows -
Dr. Haupt has done several projects using inverse empirical modeling
techniques which take measured or modeled data as the beginning point
to build a stochastic empirical model. The first such project was
accomplished with Grant Branstator of the National Center for
Atmospheric Research. They used these empirical techniques to
build an inverse climate model which was able to produce responses to
forcing better than the traditional time integration model. More
recently, she developed techniques for nonlinear
inverse modeling that involve finding the solutions with genetic
algorithms. She expects to apply these techniques to atmospheric
problems in the near future.
Ensemble
Weather Forecasting with Artifial Intelligence Techniques - Dr.
Haupt worked with honors student, Steven Greybush, to design and
test new methods of calibrating ensemble forecasts using techniques
from statistics and artificial intelligence. That work is being
continued by honors student, Tyler McCandless.